Unlocking the Secrets of Out%: What 2024 Data Reveals for 2025 Fantasy Success 

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As we dive into the 2025 fantasy baseball season, the recent analysis of Out% data from 2024 has opened up a treasure trove of insights that could shape our strategies moving forward. One of the most intriguing takeaways is the volatility of Out% as a statistic. With such low R-squared values indicating little consistency from year to year, how should we approach pitchers who had standout performances last season?

Take Sonny Gray, for instance. His sweeper was a game-changer, boasting an impressive 32% Out% last year. Should we expect him to maintain that level of effectiveness, or is he a prime candidate for regression? Similarly, what about pitchers like Zack Wheeler, who has consistently shown the ability to get batters out with his sinker? Can he elevate his fastball or cutter to match his other pitches, or is he destined to remain a one-dimensional threat?

Moreover, the rise of the splitter is fascinating. With more pitchers adopting this pitch and seeing success, could we be witnessing a shift in the league's pitching landscape? Are we entering an era where the splitter becomes the go-to pitch for strikeouts and outs, much like the slider did a few years back?

Let’s also consider the implications for fantasy managers. With the data suggesting that high-quality pitches thrown frequently yield better results, how should we adjust our draft strategies? Are there any under-the-radar pitchers you believe could break out this season based on their pitch mix and Out% trends?

And what about the closers? With Derek Law emerging as a potential closer with a slider that led the Out% leaderboard, should we be prioritizing pitchers with elite out pitches in our drafts, even if they come with less name recognition?

I’m eager to hear your thoughts! What bold predictions do you have for the upcoming season based on these trends? Who are you targeting in your drafts, and who are you avoiding? Let’s get the conversation rolling!

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